The #9 disruptive technology of 2009 according to Gartner

ZDNet just published Gartner’s top 10 disruptive technologies for 2009:

  1. Multicore and hybrid systems
  2. Virtualization and fabric computing
  3. Social networking
  4. Cloud computing
  5. Web mashups
  6. User interface
  7. Ubiquitous computing
  8. Semantics
  9. Augmented reality
  10. Contextual computing

But keep in mind we are looking at a serious downturn which means only a few of the top 10 will actually get funded in 2009. The remaining technologies on the list (including #9) are dubbed by Gartner:

“projects to ponder in the future…”

Well, after all they are talking to CIOs and IT execs that need to play it safe: avoid technical disasters, keep the business side satisfied, and stay within budget – not the ideal breeding ground for disruptors…

Still, a nice tip of the hat by Gartner to the field of augmented reality, and it did raise some eyebrows among industry pundits. Matt Asay was so dazzled that he called his article:

“Gartner’s ‘augmented reality’ on IT spending”

They say any publicity is good publicity, and this case is no exception.

On a second look at the list it hits me: we will actually need every single one of these 10 technologies to design a great augmented reality experience.

2 Responses

  1. hmz…I actualy replied to that pointing out all the use’s of AR currently being done, but it never appeared.

    As for the list, I really dont think anything remote disruptive will happened with “Social networking” or “Multicore and hybrid systems”.
    Gradual increase in facebook users and more people with more cpus…but nothing actualy really going to change fundimentaly, imho.

    Theres a lot that can be done with Semantics though, that has huge untapped potential. (of course, I would say that seeing as I’m developing my own system…).
    I do expect a lot more inteligent webapps appearing.

    User interface? hmm.
    Certainly we need that for AR. Not sure we will see much mainstream improvements in 09, aside from Nintendos upgraded wiimote.
    Whenever the -next- games consoles come out though we should see something interesting.

    My own thinking is for a good universe AR system we basicaly need a 3d stylus’s. Letting us littarly write down stuff in mid-air, as well as point and clicking in 3d space.
    Of course, the depictions of sci-fi “gloves” which can sense every hand motion is idle…..and Immesion Corp makes them;

    But I dont see this being cheap enough for AR use for quite sometime.
    So, for the moment, something like a Wacom using trigulation becons is what I’m hoping for.

    Fabric computing? yes, we dont want to carry around backpacks or holding laptops around.

    Cloud computing? yes, tapping into a shared resource bass of storage and processing will help create a unified AR world.

    Web mashups? not really. Reality mashrup more ;) Google-Earth like app’s probably being first.

    Contextual computing? Yes. Most needed. I dont want to have to go around a dozen menus or pull a virtual keyboard up unless absolutely nesscery. Give me the most likely options for my current situation accessible with just a click or two.

  2. Bruce Sterling was cenmontimg on on of our videos when he mentioned the pink hoodie, when in actuality it was a red one. If that’s not what you’re referring to in your quiz then I guess we did thumb our noses.

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